Disturbance now 50% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

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Disturbance 1: 50% Chance of Cyclone Formation in 7 Days

As of 2:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025…

Tropical Atlantic:

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the eastern tropical Atlantic is associated with a tropical wave.

Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the latter part of the week while moving westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic, possibly approaching the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
  • Formation chance through 7 days… medium…50 percent.